Факультет цифрових технологій та автоматизації виробництва
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Документ Financial Sustainability Evaluation and Forecasting Using the Markov Chain: The Case of the Wine Business(MDPI, 2020) Rekova, N. Yu.; Telnova, H.; Kachur, O.; Golubkova, I.; Balezentis, T.; Streimikiene, D.; Рекова, Н. Ю.This paper proposes a framework for assessing the financial sustainability of a wineproducing company. The probabilistic approach is used to model the expected changes in the financialsituation of an enterprise based on the historical trends. The case of an enterprise in Ukraine isconsidered as an illustration. The Markov chain is adopted for the forecasting exercise. Using theMarkov chain framework allows one to predict the probability of financial security change forseveral periods ahead. The forecast relies on the transition probabilities obtained by exploiting thehistorical data. The proposed framework is implemented by construction of the financial securitylevel transition matrices for three scenarios (optimistic, baseline and pessimistic). The case studyof a Ukrainian wine producing company is considered. The possibilities for applying the proposedmethod in establishing anti-crisis financial strategy are discussed. The research shows how forecastingthe financial security level of a company can serve in anti-crisis financial potential buildup.Документ Management of the sustainable development of machine-building enterprises: a sustainable development space approach(Publisher Emerald Publishing Limited, 2021) Latysheva, O. V.; Rovenska, V. V.; Smyrnova, I. I. ; Nitsenko, V.; Balezentis, T.; Streimikiene, D.; Латишева, О. В.; Ровенська, В. В.; Смирнова, І. І.The paper embarks on the development of theory and methodology for managing the sustainabledevelopment of machine-building enterprises through the use of quantitative modeling tools. The articleproposes an algorithm for estimating the position of an enterprise in its competitive space for sustainabledevelopment.Design/methodology/approach–The three dimensions of sustainability (social, economic, environmental)are represented by the equations based on the multiple criteria of sustainability. The three-dimensional space isconstructed and the effects of managerial decisions can be quantified in terms of the latter space.Findings–The proposed model is applied in the case of Ukrainian machinery construction company. Theeffects of introduction of the environmentally friendly business strategy are assessed in the three-dimensionalsustainability space. The changes in the level of sustainability can be estimated based on the projected changesin the criteria of sustainability.Originality/value–The proposed methodology combines expert knowledge, empirical data and quantitativemethods in order to quantify the level of sustainability of enterprises. The model can be extended to includeadditional dimensions and applied to different empirical cases.